TEXAS, USA — It has been a quiet stretch recently in the tropics, but let's not forget we're still in the midst of hurricane season. Tropical activity typically ramps up through August into early September, and we'll need to keep an eye on the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend.
The National Hurricane Center is watching a disorganized area of rain and storms just off the Texas coast. For now, the chances of development remain low, with no chance over the next 48 hours.
The system is currently moving through South Texas as of Sunday afternoon. Although it will not become an official tropical system, we are still expecting it to bring beneficial rainfall to some portions of Texas. Unfortunately, the system will stay well to the south of Central Texas, meaning our rain chances will be slim.
The system will likely then track inland over South Texas through Sunday and early this coming week.
One thing to keep in mind: you can't trust a tropical system in the Gulf. It's possible that the current forecast track and intensity forecast could change. We'll watch it closely.
As the system moves into South Texas, the highest rainfall potential remains south of the KVUE area and for locations closer to the coast. Many of these areas are also dealing with significant drought problems due to recent lack of rain.
Unfortunately, our rain chances are looking slim for Sunday. Our rain chances are around 20%, with best chances in the Coastal Plains. Isolated storms can't be ruled out on, but most of the area is expected to remain dry.
The KVUE Weather Team will continue to closely monitor this developing forecast.
In the meantime, the extended forecast can be found below:
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